Voters in congressional districts that President Trump won in 2016 but flipped Democratic last November support his border wall and believe Democratic Speaker Nancy Pelosi should have accepted his immigration deal to end the partial government shutdown.
A poll of 10 representative districts, some of which Trump won by a big margin but then voted a Democrat into office in 2018, also found that a plurality approve of the president’s job performance, 49 percent to 48 percent.
The Public Opinion Strategies survey done for the Republican National Committee provided some hope for the president and GOP messaging on the border wall.
What’s more, the survey provided to Secrets found that voters in districts in New York, Minnesota, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Maine, Virginia and New Jersey believe that Trump’s immigration compromise dismissed by Pelosi should have been accepted in the shutdown struggle.
And it found that more voters believe Trump “has been more open to compromise on this issue than congressional Democrats.”
It tested several border messages, for example on costs, support from border agents, and the national security threat illegal immigration poses. “After they hear this series of statements, voters in these DEM-held congressional districts move toward supporting the president’s border barrier as they shift away from Pelosi,” said the survey analysis.
The highlights directly from the poll:
- A plurality of voters in these districts approve of President Trump’s job performance (49%-48%), including an overwhelming majority of Republican voters (87%-11%).
- A majority of voters (54%-43%) say they support Trump’s policies.
- By a 61%-35% margin, voters support the president’s position on border security.
- By a 53%-43% margin, voters in these DEM-held congressional districts support “building a border wall or barrier to improve security between the U.S. and Mexico.”
- A majority of voters (50%-43%) believe that Democrats should have accepted Trump’s offer of three years of protection for dreamers in exchange for $5.7 billion in funding a border wall.
- By a 41%-34% margin, voters say Trump has been “more open to compromise on this issue” than congressional Democrats.
- After voters hear more about the need for a wall or barrier to improve national security, they move toward the president’s stance and away from Speaker Pelosi’s position.